“This was the first time anyone has collected the food and feed flows in this detail globally, from both terrestrial and aquatic systems, and combined them together. That let us understand
how much of the food by-products and residues is already in use, which was the first step to determining the untapped potential,” explained Kummu.
Flow of food and feed
The team analysed the flow of food and feed, as well as their by-products and residues, through the global food production system. They then identified ways to shift these flows to produce a better outcome. For example, livestock and farmed fish could be fed food system by-products, such as sugar beet or citrus pulp, fish and livestock by-products or even crop residues, instead of materials that are fit for human use.
With these changes, from 10-26% of total cereal production and 17 million tons of fish (~11% of the current seafood supply) could be redirected from animal feed to human use. Depending on the precise scenario, the gains in food supply would be 6-13% in terms of caloric content and 9-15% in terms of protein content. “That may not sound like a lot, but that’s food for up to about one billion people,” said Aalto’s Vilma Sandström, the first author of the study.
These findings dovetail nicely with earlier work from Kummu’s group on reducing food loss throughout the supply chain < https://bit.ly/3VP4Lgf >, from production, transport and storage through to consumer waste.
“In that study, we showed that reducing food loss and waste by half would increase the food supply by about 12%. Combined with using by-products as feed, that would be about one-quarter more food,” he said.
Some of the changes, such as feeding crop residues to livestock, would lead to a drop in livestock productivity, but the researchers accounted for that in their analysis. Another challenge is that the human-edible food currently used in livestock production and aquaculture is different from the food people are used to. For example, a different variety of corn is used in feed industries and some of the grains are lower quality, while the fish used in fishmeal production tend to be small, bony fish that currently aren’t popular with consumers.
However, overcoming these hurdles could result in substantial gains. Realising these benefits would require some adjustments in supply chains.
“For example, we’d need to reorganise the food system so that the industries and producers with by-products can find the live-stock and aquaculture producers who would need them. And some of the by-products would need processing prior to using them as feed,” said Sandström.
‘I don’t think there’s any serious problem with doing this. What we’re suggesting is already being done on a certain scale and in some areas, so it’s not something that would have to be developed from scratch. We just need to adjust the current system and increase the scale of those practices,’ Kummu said.